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NFL · graded history

Verified NFL Pick Record

Every NFL card pick, including pushes, at the line we first posted. Flat 1u. Nothing gets deleted.

NFL full card · Since 2026-09-16

Flat 1u, every play on the card

3 graded picks; flat 1u per play

W-L-P 1-2-0
Win rate 33.3%
Units -1.51u (3 picks)
Streak W1
ROI -50.4%

Regular season and postseason only. Pushes risk 1u and return 0.00u.

Last graded: Sep 20, 2026 7:30 PM ET

Pick of the Week: 52%+ model probability and 3% to 10% edge; highest qualifying edge.

Pick of the Week · Since 2026-09-16

One free play per official week

1 graded picks; flat 1u per play

W-L-P 1-0-0
Win rate 100.0%
Units +0.49u (1 picks)
Streak W1
ROI +48.8%

The weekly pick we first posted is the one we grade. Nothing gets swapped later.

Last graded: Sep 20, 2026 7:30 PM ET

Pick of the Week: 52%+ model probability and 3% to 10% edge; highest qualifying edge.

Hot runs & streaks

Built from every graded weekly card pick. Pick of the Week results are tracked separately above.

Longest win streak W1 individual picks in a row
Longest cold streak L4 individual picks in a row
Current streak W1 all picks, chronological
Best Pick of the Week run W1 public free pick

Best weekly cards

No 4+ win weeks yet.

3 graded picks Download CSV
Every graded pick at the line originally published, with units and a running total.
Date Week Team Opponent Line Result Units Running total units
2026-09-20 REG Week 2 Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals -205
DraftKings
W +0.49u -1.51u
2026-09-20 REG Week 2 Houston Texans Cincinnati Bengals -148
DraftKings
L -1.00u -2.00u
2026-09-20 REG Week 2 Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers +114
DraftKings
L -1.00u -1.00u