NFL · graded history
Verified NFL Pick Record
Every NFL card pick, including pushes, at the line we first posted. Flat 1u. Nothing gets deleted.
NFL full card · Since 2025-09-23
Flat 1u, every play on the card
7 graded picks; flat 1u per play
Regular season and postseason only. Pushes risk 1u and return 0.00u.
Last graded: Sep 20, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Pick of the Week: 52%+ model probability and 3% to 10% edge; highest qualifying edge.
Pick of the Week · Since 2025-09-23
One free play per official week
2 graded picks; flat 1u per play
The weekly pick we first posted is the one we grade. Nothing gets swapped later.
Last graded: Sep 20, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Pick of the Week: 52%+ model probability and 3% to 10% edge; highest qualifying edge.
Hot runs & streaks
Built from every graded weekly card pick. Pick of the Week results are tracked separately above.
Best weekly cards
No 4+ win weeks yet.
| Date | Week | Team | Opponent | Line | Result | Units | Running total units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | REG Week 2 | Seattle Seahawks | Arizona Cardinals | -205 DraftKings |
W | +0.49u | -3.66u |
| 2026-09-20 | REG Week 2 | Houston Texans | Cincinnati Bengals | -148 DraftKings |
L | -1.00u | -4.15u |
| 2026-09-20 | REG Week 2 | Atlanta Falcons | Carolina Panthers | +114 DraftKings |
L | -1.00u | -3.15u |
| 2026-09-14 | REG Week 1 | Denver Broncos | Kansas City Chiefs | +124 DraftKings |
L | -1.00u | -2.15u |
| 2026-09-13 | REG Week 1 | Houston Texans | Buffalo Bills | -102 DraftKings |
L | -1.00u | -1.15u |
| 2026-09-13 | REG Week 1 | Minnesota Vikings | Green Bay Packers | -118 DraftKings |
W | +0.85u | -0.15u |
| 2026-09-13 | REG Week 1 | Miami Dolphins | Las Vegas Raiders | +164 DraftKings |
L | -1.00u | -1.00u |