Today · 2026-07-25
The free pick posts after morning prices are up. We only post when there is a real edge, not just because games are on.
Today's MLB slate
| Matchup | Score | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers | 1:10 PM ET | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals | 4:05 PM ET | |
| Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants | 4:05 PM ET | |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox | 4:10 PM ET | |
| San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins | 4:10 PM ET | |
| New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies | 6:05 PM ET | |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays | 6:10 PM ET | |
| Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:40 PM ET | |
| Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles | 7:05 PM ET | |
| Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | 7:10 PM ET | |
| Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox | 7:10 PM ET | |
| Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | 7:10 PM ET | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets | 7:15 PM ET | |
| Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | 7:15 PM ET | |
| Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | 7:15 PM ET |
Free Pick of the Day · Last 30 days
15 graded picks; flat 1u per play
The one public pick per day, graded at the line we posted. Every graded pick ever is on the record page.
Last graded: Jul 25, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Rules since Jun 19, 2026: free pick needs 52%+ win probability and 3 to 10% edge (highest edge in that band).
See full graded history →Full model card · Last 30 days
67 graded picks; flat 1u per play
The whole card, including the sides held back from the free pick. Pro opens these the day they post; here they are graded after the fact.
Last graded: Jul 25, 2026 3:44 AM ET
The free pick is one play a day. Pro opens the full card the day it posts: every side, line, edge, and write-up, graded the same way.
Last 30 days · change window
| Date | Play | Pick | Matchup | Score | Line | Edge | Units | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles | 7-6 | -102 | +8.9% | +0.98u | W |
| 2026-07-23 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | 1-3 | -104 | +8.0% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-07-22 | PICK OF THE DAY | Milwaukee Brewers | New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers | 3-4 | -138 | +9.4% | +0.72u | W |
| 2026-07-21 | PICK OF THE DAY | Milwaukee Brewers | New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers | 4-0 | -142 | +9.1% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-07-20 | PICK OF THE DAY | St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels | 2-3 | +102 | +8.1% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-07-19 | PICK OF THE DAY | San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals | 19-2 | +114 | +7.7% | +1.14u | W |
| 2026-07-17 | PICK OF THE DAY | Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays | 12-4 | +114 | +8.2% | +1.14u | W |
| 2026-07-12 | PICK OF THE DAY | Chicago White Sox | Athletics @ Chicago White Sox | 1-9 | -116 | +8.6% | +0.86u | W |
| 2026-07-07 | PICK OF THE DAY | Chicago White Sox | Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox | 8-1 | +106 | +6.7% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-07-06 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves | 7-6 | -130 | +9.8% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-07-01 | PICK OF THE DAY | Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Athletics | 1-7 | -162 | +6.0% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-06-30 | PICK OF THE DAY | Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles | 9-3 | +118 | +9.5% | +1.18u | W |
| 2026-06-28 | PICK OF THE DAY | Detroit Tigers | Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers | 7-5 | +110 | +5.2% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-06-27 | PICK OF THE DAY | Pittsburgh Pirates | Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 9-7 | +100 | +7.4% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-06-25 | PICK OF THE DAY | Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets | 4-3 | -106 | +7.1% | +0.94u | W |
Get first dibs when Pro tools launch, plus future daily picks. No spam.
Same process every day. Run the slate, post the best look that clears our bar. No gut calls, no chasing yesterday, no quiet edits later.
We grade teams on season form: wins, runs scored, runs allowed, pitching, plus a small home bump (why). Early year samples swing around. More on that here.
How wide the gap looks. Strong stands out. Slight is closer, so don't get carried away. A lean, not a promise.
The line is the moneyline when we posted. The edge is our fair price vs the board (plain English). A +4% edge means the book is a bit soft on that side. Shop the number before you bet. No line means we did not have one at run time.
Everything grades straight W/L on the team we posted. Cold streaks happen. Variance is normal. Units means your normal bet size, flat 1u every play (why). Nothing gets deleted. CLV is another way to read results besides W/L.
More reads: win probability · why we skip parlays · run differential · all posts.
Bet responsibly. For informational use only. Past results don't guarantee future performance.