Free MLB picks every day—each with a moneyline read and a model edge vs the board when lines are out. Bookmark this and check back after the morning run. We track every result publicly.
Pick of the Day Record
29 graded picks; flat 1u per play
This tracks the public Pick of the Day only. Full-card results stay in the graded history, but the homepage record matches the free product people follow.
See full graded history →Today's pick usually posts after the morning line refresh, when the board has prices for the slate. Games below are scheduled for today; the public play shows here once the model has lines and a real edge—not because the day is over.
Today's MLB slate
| Matchup | Score | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians | 6:10 PM ET | |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles | 6:35 PM ET | |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers | 6:40 PM ET | |
| Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:40 PM ET | |
| Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox | 6:45 PM ET | |
| Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays | 7:07 PM ET | |
| Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets | 7:10 PM ET | |
| Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox | 7:40 PM ET | |
| New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals | 7:40 PM ET | |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers | 7:40 PM ET | |
| Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | 8:05 PM ET | |
| Seattle Mariners @ Athletics | 9:40 PM ET | |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres | 9:40 PM ET | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants | 9:45 PM ET | |
| Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 10:10 PM ET |
Pick history
| Date | Slot | Pick | Matchup | Score | Line | Edge | Units | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | PICK OF THE DAY | Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants | 6-2 | +120 | +12.5% | +1.20u | W |
| 2026-05-24 | PICK OF THE DAY | Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels | 1-2 | +108 | +11.7% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-23 | PICK OF THE DAY | Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies | 0-3 | +166 | +19.5% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-22 | PICK OF THE DAY | Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0 | +154 | +17.1% | +1.54u | W |
| 2026-05-21 | PICK OF THE DAY | Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers | 3-1 | +102 | +9.2% | +1.02u | W |
| 2026-05-20 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays | 3-5 | -126 | +11.6% | +0.79u | W |
| 2026-05-19 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays | 1-4 | -124 | +11.5% | +0.81u | W |
| 2026-05-18 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins | 0-12 | -104 | +15.6% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-17 | PICK OF THE DAY | New York Yankees | New York Yankees @ New York Mets | 6-7 | -102 | +13.0% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-16 | PICK OF THE DAY | Pittsburgh Pirates | Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 6-0 | +148 | +19.2% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-15 | PICK OF THE DAY | Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins | 3-2 | -102 | +10.8% | +0.98u | W |
| 2026-05-14 | PICK OF THE DAY | Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets | 4-9 | +152 | +12.2% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-13 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | 3-5 | +142 | +20.8% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-12 | PICK OF THE DAY | Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets | 2-10 | +128 | +12.2% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-11 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | 8-5 | +116 | +13.9% | +1.16u | W |
| 2026-05-10 | PICK OF THE DAY | Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers | 0-3 | +110 | +14.5% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-09 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox | — | +128 | +15.6% | — | – |
| 2026-05-08 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox | 0-2 | +118 | +14.8% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-07 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox | 8-4 | +102 | +9.4% | +1.02u | W |
| 2026-05-06 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners | 1-3 | +116 | +18.5% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-05 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners | 3-2 | +120 | +18.5% | +1.20u | W |
| 2026-05-04 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners | 4-5 | +138 | +22.8% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-03 | PICK OF THE DAY | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | 7-2 | +120 | +15.1% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-05-02 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays | 1-5 | -106 | +8.9% | +0.94u | W |
| 2026-05-01 | PICK OF THE DAY | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | 6-5 | +110 | +12.2% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-04-30 | PICK OF THE DAY | Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals @ New York Mets | 5-4 | +176 | +17.3% | +1.76u | W |
| 2026-04-29 | PICK OF THE DAY | Atlanta Braves | Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves | 3-4 | +122 | +17.0% | +1.22u | W |
| 2026-04-28 | PICK OF THE DAY | San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies | 0-7 | +144 | +15.6% | -1.00u | L |
| 2026-04-27 | PICK OF THE DAY | Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians | 3-2 | +116 | +4.7% | +1.16u | W |
| 2026-04-26 | PICK OF THE DAY | Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets | 3-1 | +168 | +13.6% | +1.68u | W |
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Every day we run the full slate the same way and post the best looks that come out of it. No "team I like tonight" stuff, no chasing yesterday, no mystery edits after the fact.
We grade teams on season-to-date form: winning, run creation, run prevention, and pitching. Early in the year that sample is small, so reads can move quickly as fresh games come in—see our early-season small samples post. Home field gets a small bump (how much it matters), then we post the higher-graded side.
That is just a read on how wide the gap is. Strong means the matchup stands out. Slight means it is closer and probably not a spot to get carried away. It is a confidence read, not a promise.
The line is the moneyline we had when the card ran. The edge is the gap between our fair price and the number on the board—what moneyline edge means in plain English. If you see a +4% edge, that means the book is pricing that side a little cheaper than our numbers say it should be. Always try to shop for the best number before you lock in. No line means we did not get one when the engine ran.
Every pick is in the table above. Grades are straight W/L against the team we posted—no style points, no moving the line after the fact. Results update once games go final. Short cold streaks happen in baseball; variance is normal. Units are just “how many of your normal bet size”—if your unit is $25 or $50 or whatever you use, that is what we mean. We keep it flat 1u on every play—why flat unit betting—so net units stay easy to read. Nothing gets deleted, nothing gets rewritten. Process vs results: closing line value is another lens besides W/L.
More reads: win probability · why we skip parlays · run differential · all posts.
Bet responsibly. For informational use only. Past results don't guarantee future performance.