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MLB · graded history

Verified Pick Record

Every graded pick, flat 1u, posted edge, running total. Nothing gets deleted.

MLB full card ยท Since 2026-07-18

Flat 1u, every pick

26 graded picks; flat 1u per play

Overall 17-9
Win rate 65.4%
Units +7.72u (26 picks)
Streak W5
ROI +29.7%

Second half sample, still growing. We show every graded pick, including labeled outage backfills. Live plays update when games go final.

Last graded: Jul 25, 2026 5:12 AM ET

Rules since Jun 19, 2026: free pick needs 52%+ win probability and 3 to 10% edge (highest edge in that band).

Hot runs & streaks

Built from every graded full card pick (up to 5 a day). Updates when games go final. Public Pick of the Day streaks are separate.

Longest win streak W14 individual picks in a row
Longest cold streak L7 individual picks in a row
Current streak W5 all picks, chronological
Best Pick of the Day run W5 May 4 to May 9

Best days (4+ wins on card)

  • Jul 24 5-0 · 5 picks
  • Jul 22 5-0 · 5 picks
  • May 20 5-0 · 5 picks
  • May 19 5-0 · 5 picks
  • May 7 5-0 · 5 picks

Best 7-day windows

  • May 15 to May 21 24-11 · 35 picks
  • May 14 to May 20 23-12 · 35 picks
  • May 16 to May 22 22-13 · 35 picks

Win rate by posted edge

This is why the free pick stays in the 3 to 10% band with a 52%+ win floor.

  • Under 3% 12-13 · 48.0% · 25 picks
  • 3 to 6% 56-38 · 59.6% · 94 picks
  • 6 to 10% 78-70 · 52.7% · 148 picks
  • 10%+ 59-97 · 37.8% · 156 picks
26 graded picks Download CSV
Every graded pick at the line originally published, with units and a running total.
Date Team Opponent Edge % Result Units Running total units
2026-07-24 Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates +2.4% W +1.04u +7.72u
2026-07-24 Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays +4.5% W +0.81u +6.68u
2026-07-24 New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies +6.3% W +1.04u +5.87u
2026-07-24 Los Angeles Dodgers New York Mets +7.0% W +0.68u +4.83u
2026-07-24 Atlanta Braves Baltimore Orioles +8.9% W +0.98u +4.16u
2026-07-23 Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays +8.0% L -1.00u +3.18u
2026-07-22 St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Angels +7.2% W +1.04u +4.18u
2026-07-22 Arizona Diamondbacks Athletics +7.2% W +0.86u +3.14u
2026-07-22 Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays +7.6% W +0.96u +2.28u
2026-07-22 Atlanta Braves San Diego Padres +7.6% W +0.85u +1.31u
2026-07-22 Milwaukee Brewers New York Mets +9.4% W +0.72u +0.47u
2026-07-21 Seattle Mariners Cincinnati Reds +6.3% L -1.00u -0.26u
2026-07-21 Chicago White Sox Texas Rangers +7.2% L -1.00u +0.74u
2026-07-21 Washington Nationals Colorado Rockies +7.5% L -1.00u +1.74u
2026-07-21 Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies +13.6% W +1.14u +2.74u
2026-07-21 Milwaukee Brewers New York Mets +9.1% L -1.00u +1.60u
2026-07-20 Miami Marlins Houston Astros +7.8% L -1.00u +2.60u
2026-07-20 St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Angels +8.1% L -1.00u +3.60u
2026-07-20 Chicago White Sox Texas Rangers +12.7% W +1.42u +4.60u
2026-07-20 Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays +13.4% W +1.34u +3.18u
2026-07-20 Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies +14.8% L -1.00u +1.84u
2026-07-19 Los Angeles Dodgers New York Yankees +2.2% W +0.89u +2.84u
2026-07-19 Milwaukee Brewers Miami Marlins +4.7% W +0.77u +1.95u
2026-07-19 San Diego Padres Kansas City Royals +7.7% W +1.14u +1.18u
2026-07-19 Atlanta Braves Texas Rangers +12.5% W +1.04u +0.04u
2026-07-19 Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets +13.5% L -1.00u -1.00u